<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<cxml xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" 
xsi:noNamespaceSchemaLocation="http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/projects/THORPEX/CXML/cxml.0.2.xsd">
	<header>
		<product>Cyclone Forecast</product>
		<generatingApplication>
			<applicationType>Global ensemble prediction system</applicationType>
			<model>
				<name>ECMWF</name>
				<domain>global</domain>
				<modelResolution>T399</modelResolution>
				<dataResolution units="degrees">0.5</dataResolution>
				<productionStatus>prod</productionStatus>
			</model>
			<ensemble>
				<numMembers>51</numMembers>
				<perturbationMethod>SVD</perturbationMethod>
			</ensemble>
		</generatingApplication>
		<productionCenter>ECMWF
			<subCenter>Operations Division</subCenter>
		</productionCenter>
		<moreInfo>http://www.ecmwf.int/about/eps.html</moreInfo>
		<moreMetadata>http://www.ecmwf.int/about/eps_metadata.html</moreMetadata>
		<baseTime>2007-07-25T12:00:00Z</baseTime>
		<creationTime>2007-07-25T15:42:00</creationTime>
		<spatialReferenceSystem>
			<name>esriSRSpheroid_WGS1984</name>
			<radius units="km">6378.137</radius>
		</spatialReferenceSystem>
	</header>

	<data type="analysis">
		<disturbance ID="2007072518_134N_1102E">
			<cycloneName>George</cycloneName>
			<basin>Southern Hemisphere</basin>
			<fix hour="0">
				<validTime>2007-07-25T12:00:00Z</validTime>
				<latitude units="deg N">13.2</latitude>
				<longitude units="deg E">110.0</longitude>
				<accuracy units="deg">0.3</accuracy>
				<cycloneData biasCorrected="false">
					<development>tropical cyclone</development>
					<category>2</category>
					<Dvorak>
						<dataTnumber>3.5</dataTnumber>
						<modelExpectedTnumber>3.5</modelExpectedTnumber>
						<patternTnumber>3.0</patternTnumber>
						<finalTnumber>3.0</finalTnumber>
						<ongoingChange>MINUS</ongoingChange>
						<currentIntensity>3.0</currentIntensity>
						<pastChange>D1.0</pastChange>
						<changePeriod units="h">24</changePeriod>
					</Dvorak>
					<eye source="satellite">
						<shape>circular</shape>
						<diameter units="km">35.</diameter>
					</eye>
					<minimumPressure source="aircraft">
						<pressure units="hPa" precision="1.">989.</pressure>
						<accuracy units="hPa">0.5</accuracy>
					</minimumPressure>
					<maximumWind source="aircraft">
						<speed units="m/s" precision="0.2">49.8</speed>
						<averagingPeriod units="min">10.</averagingPeriod>
						<latitude units="deg N">13.24</latitude>
						<longitude units="deg E">110.13</longitude>
						<radius units="km">25.2</radius>
						<gusts units="m/s">115.</gusts>
						<gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
						<accuracy units="m/s">2.</accuracy>
					</maximumWind>
				</cycloneData>
			</fix>
		</disturbance>
	</data>

	<data type="ensembleForecast" member="0" perturb="control" origin="ECMWF">
		<disturbance ID="2007072518_134N_1102E">
			<cycloneName>George</cycloneName>
			<cycloneNumber>1</cycloneNumber>
			<localID>EPS0001</localID>
			<basin>Southern Hemisphere</basin>
			<objectiveTechnique>BLND</objectiveTechnique>
			<fix hour="6">
				<validTime>2007-07-25T18:00:00Z</validTime>
				<latitude units="deg N">13.4</latitude>
				<longitude units="deg E">110.2</longitude>
				<subRegion>South Indian Ocean</subRegion>
				<cycloneData biasCorrected="true">
					<development>tropical cyclone</development>
					<systemDepth>medium</systemDepth>
					<stormMotion>
						<directionToward units="deg true">210.</directionToward>
						<speed units="m/s">50.</speed>
					</stormMotion>
					<cyclonePhase>
						<stormRelThkSymmetry units="m">30.</stormRelThkSymmetry>
						<thermalWindLower units="m/s">50.</thermalWindLower>
						<thermalWindUpper units="m/s">-250.</thermalWindUpper>
					</cyclonePhase>
					<minimumPressure>
						<pressure units="hPa">989.8</pressure>
					</minimumPressure>
					<lastClosedIsobar>
						<pressure units="hPa">1002.3</pressure>
						<radius units="km">600.</radius>
					</lastClosedIsobar>
					<maximumWind>
						<speed units="m/s">49.8</speed>
						<latitude units="deg N">13.24</latitude>
						<longitude units="deg E">110.13</longitude>
						<radius units="km">25.2</radius>
					</maximumWind>
					<windContours>
						<windSpeed units="kt">34
							<radius sector="AAA" units="km">235.</radius>
							<radius sector="NEQ" units="km">200.</radius>
							<radius sector="SEQ" units="km">243.</radius>
							<radius sector="SWQ" units="km">301.</radius>
							<radius sector="NWQ" units="km">228.</radius>
						</windSpeed>
						<windSpeed units="kt">50
							<radius sector="NEQ" units="km">159.</radius>
							<radius sector="SEQ" units="km">138.</radius>
							<radius sector="SWQ" units="km">121.</radius>
							<radius sector="NWQ" units="km">107.</radius>
						</windSpeed>
						<windSpeed units="kt">63
							<radius sector="AAA" units="km">64.</radius>
						</windSpeed>
					</windContours>
					<maximumPrecipitation>
						<intensity units="mm/h">68.</intensity>
						<latitude units="deg N">13.05</latitude>
						<longitude units="deg E">110.25</longitude>
						<precipitationType>rain</precipitationType>
					</maximumPrecipitation>
					<maximumWaveHeight>
						<height units="mm/h">68.</height>
						<latitude units="deg N">13.05</latitude>
						<longitude units="deg E">110.25</longitude>
					</maximumWaveHeight>
					<seaContours>
						<waveHeight units="m">10
							<radius sector="AAA" units="km">200.</radius>
						</waveHeight>
						<waveHeight units="m">20
							<radius sector="AAA" units="km">120.</radius>
						</waveHeight>
					</seaContours>
					<fixedRadii>
						<fixedRadius units="km">500.
							<pressure units="hPa">995.3</pressure>
							<tangentialWind units="m/s">50.</tangentialWind>
						</fixedRadius>
						<fixedRadius units="km">1000.
							<pressure units="hPa">1006.</pressure>
							<tangentialWind units="m/s">27.3</tangentialWind>
						</fixedRadius>
					</fixedRadii>
				</cycloneData>
			</fix>
		</disturbance>
	</data>
</cxml>
